While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. On the other hand, Scheffler's putting can be a weakness, but he can make up for it with every other part of his game. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. TPC Scottsdale 3. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS: Top FanDuel, DraftKings daily That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Learn the game and know the odds. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to Theres plenty more where that came from. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). For live odds, visit BetMGM. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. Poston. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Its the type of course the ultra-accurate Streelman could still contend, and though hes only played this event once since 2009, he does boast a top-three to his name a long time ago. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. picks Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! The odds are a bit too long as a result. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. All Rights Reserved. Noren has missed the last two cuts at elevated events by a total of three strokes. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Rory McIlroy, No. picks Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Vegas has been impressive since returning to action from offseason shoulder surgery. Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. In a memo to PGA Tour members sent to players Wednesday, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan made the news On the odds board in Vegas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy top the list of favorites, followed by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns. But we arent making one pick. Were making three. The future of golf betting? Heres what the PGA Tour thinks it will look like The game were playing is on Chirp, a free-to-play mobile game. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. His ball-striking is elite on this circuit, but hes not reliant on that aspect of his game. Hovland/Moriakawa (8.6 percent), 3. Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Get 50% off your first week or month with promo code SCORE, In-Season Data & Tools (may require NFL Express or higher), Draft Season Data & Tools (may require Draft Kit). Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Our experts are torn. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! Theyre both inside the top 30 this season in birdie average. Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Like golf? Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (+100) over Scottie Scheffler (Bet365) As you can see above I dont fancy Schefflers chances this week. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim.
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